Dividend ETFs - An Antidote for Volatile Markets

Published:11/03/2024


Investor Knowledge +  5 Minutes = New Thinking

With the possibility of a slowing economy and volatile markets on the horizon, TD Asset Management Inc. (TDAM) is shining a spotlight on two dividend exchange-traded funds (ETFs) designed to mitigate risk and generate the potential for better returns – the TD Q Canadian Dividend ETF (TQCD), and the TD Q Global Dividend ETF (TQGD). In an interview with Business Television, Julien Palardy, Managing Director and Head of Quantitative and Passive Investing at TDAM shared his thoughts on the benefits of these solutions in today's environment.

"I think it's a great time for dividend-paying ETFs. While Guaranteed Investment Certificates and high-interest savings accounts currently provide attractive risk-free returns, there's a belief that interest rates will start to drop this year, making these investments less compelling. This is probably the best time to lock into high-quality dividend stocks which are currently available at a discount. The dividends they pay will very likely persist in the future and probably keep growing."

A smoother ride

Dividend ETFs have several characteristics that are attractive to investors looking for a smoother ride. They are generally less volatile because they typically consist of more mature companies with stable cash flows. Most dividend ETFs are passive, meaning they rely on a rules-based index methodology for portfolio construction. These ETFs tend to select the highest-yielding securities within the investment universe for inclusion within the portfolio. They offer instant diversification at a low cost.

However, high yield should not be the only consideration when choosing investments. Taking a more diversified active approach to selecting a portfolio of dividend-paying stocks can offer some advantages over passively managed products.

"The focus of TQCD and TQGD is quality. We invest in companies that have not only paid dividends historically but are likely to sustain and grow their dividends going forward. We look for companies that have consistently been able to pay down their debt and increase profitability, ones that have also exhibited strong cash flows and have liquid balance sheets. This criterion often favours insurance and energy companies, materials, certain real estate trusts, and traditional defensives like staples and utilities. In TQGD, we tend to focus on high-quality dividend payers in healthcare, transportation, and tech, where we have large positions in Apple and Microsoft."

How TDAM finds these companies is what truly sets it apart from many of its peers

Palardy’s Quantitative and Passive Investment Team, which has been around for 25 years, was one of the first in Canada to focus on quantitative investing, a sophisticated approach to investment management and security selection that uses a combination of computer models, data analytics and professional judgement to create an optimal portfolio that balances risk and return.

"I believe the future of investing belongs to models and quantitative metrics. While other financial institutions rely heavily on the discretion of portfolio managers to maximize dividend yield, we use quantitative approaches in our portfolio construction that are data driven."

In the last two years, this statistical approach has added a new dimension with the advent of artificial intelligence (AI). While quantitative investing has traditionally employed numerical data from financial statements, AI now provides the ability to interpret unstructured or textual data with increased depth.

"Textual information is extremely important because it provides colour to the numbers that we've historically used in our models. Models that we're building today allow us to process textual information from things like earnings call transcripts. This gives us some additional perspective when it comes to the numbers that companies publish, and it plays a critical role in how we interpret those numbers. Once we have this textual information, we can turn it into numbers that we can then feed into our quantitative models."

TDAM’s quantitative investment team is virtually unmatched in Canada. With 30 dedicated managers, data specialists, and researchers, and more than C$14B1 assets under management, it is one of the few organizations capable of operating at a scale large enough to maintain a top-level operation running on the highest quality data available.

That inherent advantage is reflected in returns of TDAM’s two quantitative ETFs. Both funds have been in existence for more than four years now. While 2020 was a difficult year for dividend paying strategies in general due to the onset of Covid, the last three years have seen both TQCD and TQGD outperform their benchmarks by about 3%2.

Both the TD Q Canadian Dividend ETF (TQCD) and the TD Q Global Dividend ETF (TQGD) can be purchased through your discount brokerage accounts or through your advisor.

This article is published by BTV Bulletin, Discover Investment Opportunities. 25 years of delivering compelling stories to investors.

1Source: Assets under management across all mandates managed by TDAM.截至2023年12月31日
2Standard performance data as of Dec. 31, 2023: TQCD: 12.2% (1 year); 13.0% (3 year); 6.5% (since inception, November 20, 2019). TQGD: 14.5% (1 year); 11.9% (3 year); 7.4% (since inception, November 20, 2019). Benchmarks: TQCD: S&P/TSX Composite Index TR (C$), TQGD: MSCI World Index ND (C$). Returns for periods greater than one year are annualized.

投資交易所買賣基金可能需要負擔相關佣金、管理費以及開支。 Please read the prospectus and ETF Facts before investing.交易所買賣基金沒有擔保,其價值可能經常變化,且過去表現未必會重現。交易所買賣基金的單位在證券交易所按市場價格進行買賣,因此經紀人佣金的收取會減少回報。指數回報不代表道明交易所買賣基金的回報。所顯示的回報率為所示期間的歷史總回報率,包括單位價值變動和所有分紅的再投資,且並未考慮任何單位持有人的贖回、佣金或應付所得稅,而這些部分都可能會減少回報。

道明交易所買賣基金由道明銀行(The Toronto-Dominion Bank)全資子公司道明資產管理有限公司(TD Asset Management Inc.)管理。

道明資產管理有限公司 (TD Asset Management Inc.) 是道明銀行 (The Toronto-Dominion Bank) 的全資擁有附屬機構。

® TD標誌和其他TD商標為道明銀行或其子公司的產權。


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